Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.673751 0.862522 1.074813 1.328482 1.620601 1.943835 2.325882
2025-08-17 0.389470 0.615064 0.903091 1.285058 1.765750 2.338791 3.061471
2025-08-24 0.253755 0.495069 0.842322 1.345739 2.025264 2.881253 4.010982
2025-08-31 0.154041 0.383021 0.757452 1.349435 2.201013 3.325887 4.867317
2025-09-07 0.104812 0.328627 0.738539 1.433968 2.484313 3.920882 5.942613
2025-09-14 0.067937 0.276721 0.707094 1.488572 2.722726 4.463409 6.970024
2025-09-21 0.040923 0.227394 0.664258 1.513255 2.912171 4.941931 7.925875
2025-09-28 0.020885 0.176137 0.599913 1.487052 3.014912 5.296070 8.718785
2025-10-05 0.011221 0.146418 0.570442 1.515004 3.200160 5.772547 9.692630
2025-10-12 0.005157 0.119122 0.536017 1.525731 3.353692 6.203972 10.611611
2025-10-19 0.001450 0.088601 0.479101 1.480305 3.405010 6.478750 11.309617
2025-10-26 0.000214 0.065807 0.431799 1.444427 3.466013 6.766139 12.029300
2025-11-02 0.000006 0.051785 0.406132 1.453470 3.610946 7.196187 12.981373
2025-11-09 NaN 0.035953 0.361387 1.409262 3.653436 7.464081 13.699545
2025-11-16 NaN 0.031316 0.361796 1.474940 3.906337 8.079394 14.954939
2025-11-23 NaN 0.023589 0.339882 1.479409 4.040501 8.503879 15.929465
2025-11-30 NaN 0.021759 0.349823 1.569693 4.347356 9.221653 17.366152
2025-12-07 NaN 0.018549 0.348277 1.627930 4.592643 9.842572 18.664669
2025-12-14 NaN 0.014526 0.336207 1.654251 4.774073 10.360226 19.812218
2025-12-21 NaN 0.009600 0.307583 1.626424 4.841548 10.685345 20.665085
2025-12-28 NaN 0.007336 0.298637 1.656169 5.029531 11.219990 21.853819
2026-01-04 NaN 0.005177 0.284821 1.667583 5.178021 11.688654 22.944598
2026-01-11 NaN 0.002742 0.254951 1.619281 5.193549 11.924805 23.669762